Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.078365 0.125721 0.182816 0.254081 0.338401 0.433111 0.545807
2026-02-08 0.015455 0.056590 0.124027 0.224569 0.358545 0.522113 0.729402
2026-02-15 0.001632 0.030215 0.098173 0.215199 0.383800 0.599730 0.882548
2026-02-22 NaN 0.017709 0.086292 0.220229 0.424682 0.695170 1.057028
2026-03-01 NaN 0.008497 0.072710 0.217469 0.451303 0.769947 1.204188
2026-03-08 NaN 0.002181 0.055858 0.203541 0.458246 0.816539 1.314229
2026-03-15 NaN 0.001316 0.057957 0.224971 0.518796 0.935925 1.518457
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000756 0.060334 0.246774 0.580085 1.056715 1.725141
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000169 0.058427 0.258835 0.625771 1.156039 1.904185
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000129 0.064193 0.287993 0.699279 1.294595 2.135283
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000013 0.065312 0.306548 0.755718 1.409540 2.335792
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.059210 0.307405 0.782835 1.483183 2.481984
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.043692 0.282785 0.768181 1.500030 2.557117
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.028331 0.251188 0.738547 1.493976 2.601243
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.021695 0.241280 0.745041 1.539038 2.712897
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.019739 0.246619 0.779168 1.625019 2.880433
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.016074 0.243685 0.797356 1.687041 3.015244
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.010597 0.228844 0.791577 1.712335 3.099252
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.012722 0.251667 0.859427 1.849751 3.338435
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.014958 0.274825 0.927989 1.988408 3.579598
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.015117 0.287613 0.976403 2.096619 3.778980
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.018956 0.318467 1.060136 2.258662 4.052959
2026-07-05 NaN NaN 0.020487 0.338061 1.122054 2.387753 4.281712